Have you ever heard the saying “If you don’t like the weather, wait a minute.”

Well, that applies to our real estate market too. The most recent development surrounds our current inventory. As of this moment we have 5,474 single family homes available in our entire multiple list. We have 13,113 single family homes in escrow. We have closed 3,195 homes in the last 30 days.

That means we have about 45 days worth of inventory available. One of the basic premises of economics is that when an inventory of available product is low and the demand is high, prices go up. That’s not happening though. There are three reasons that pricing has not reacted to the inventory. First, the low inventory is partially a result of the lack of bank foreclosures over the last 5 months. The banks will eventually start bringing homes back to market. I do want to caution buyers however, there aren’t as many out there as you think. It’s likely that once the banks fire up their machines again the output will be the same or even less than it was last year. That’s because the banks are liking short sales. The second reason for prices not moving is the appraisals. You have heard me whine about this before, but it’s still happening. Appraisers just find it easy to bring homes in low and there is no way we can get them to allow prices to start moving in the right direction. The third reason, is that buyers are still cautious. There is a real sense that we may see another downturn in pricing as a result of either interest rates going up, or demand drying up.

All of these reasons have some validity. There will come a day, in the not too distant future when prices will start to rise. That’s when the buyers will all want to buy.  Some of the wealthiest people in our country made their money in Real Estate markets just like this!  Pay attention buyers.  You will be wondering in 5 years why you didn’t buy now.